
Will Pope Emeritus Benedict survive to 2023?
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1.5kṀ21kresolved Dec 31
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Resolves YES if Benedict is alive when 2023 begins (according to his timezone). Context: https://www.npr.org/2022/12/29/1145997483/benedict-xvi-health-vatican
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@EdwardKmett Yeah, I saw these odds and thought "surely there's a non-zero chance the newspaper ran the obituary early, or a timezone was wrong, or the market creator misclicks and misresolves, or the journalist was rigging the prediction markets to cash out, or SOMETHING stupid"