Will an FDIC-insured bank go bust by May 1st?
15
203
290
resolved May 2
Resolved
YES
Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,384
2Ṁ20
3Ṁ9
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ0
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 of YES

First Republic Bank is on the list as of May 1. So what exactly does "by May 1st" mean for the resolution?

I would say YES because the "go bust" happened during the last year and was just acknowledged today.

@marktweise this'll be YES unless something bizarre happens. "By" usually includes the day.

@ScottLawrence damn... Sold my shares when I shouldn't have done

I suggest using this list as the canonical resolution source: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/

@JonathanRay sorry for the delay @jack . That list is what I'll use

bought Ṁ20 of NO

"Go bust" needs disambiguation, as we've seen from many of the recent cases e.g. Credit Suisse.

predicted NO

@jack no bank will actually go bust. They will bail and then the entire system will collapse at once in 2026