Once the media reports that a "ban" on TikTok is in effect, I will attempt to install TikTok on my phone. I won't do anything super complicated or risky---maybe just google "how to install tiktok" and follow one or two sets of instructions. If I manage to succesfully install tiktok after an hour or two of trying this resolves YES; if I get bored first this resolves NO.

I won't be betting in this market. If there is no ban by the end of 2024, this market will resolve either N/A or MKT. (I'm inclined to resolve MKT so that people can keep their winnings from trades, but then I reserve the right to take appropriate measures to avoid manipulation.)

I have an Android (and no intention to change this). Also, success requires that TikTok actually works. If a message pops up saying "installed" and then I can't watch stuff or whatever else I'm supposed to do, that'll be a NO resolution.