Will Donald Trump die of natural causes or accident on or before November 5th, 2024.
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Basically this resolves Yes if Trump dies on or before November 5th, 2024 by any cause EXCEPT assassination.

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what if the bullet wound gets infected and goes to his brain, does that count as assassination still :)

Great question, thank you. I am going to say "yes, that would be considered an assassination", but I am happy to hear an argument to the contrary.

Could always resolve it to 50 percent haha .

Ok whatever you say !