Will my upcoming post "Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might Or Might Not Work" get more than 100 Substack likes?
47
100Ṁ18kresolved Mar 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Sometime in the next few weeks, I will publish a post reviewing Ajeya Cotra's report on AI timelines and Eliezer Yudkowsky's response at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ax695frGJEzGxFBK4/biology-inspired-agi-timelines-the-trick-that-never-works . The post is about 10,000 words long. This market resolves as positive iff, within one week after being posted, it gets 100+ Substack likes (ie the little heart button beneath the post).
Feb 17, 4:30pm: On rereading this, the title and description are slightly different; I'm going to go with the title and say this only wins if it gets MORE THAN 100 likes, ie 101+
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ139 | |
2 | Ṁ109 | |
3 | Ṁ53 | |
4 | Ṁ33 | |
5 | Ṁ16 |