I go to sleep early every day until I submit my bachelors?
13
100Ṁ1520
May 26
85%
chance

I have had a very bad sleep schedule for quite a while now, going to sleep late at night and, even though I consider myself a night owl, feeling bad because of it. I also believe it interferes with my ability to concentrate and motivate myself to do anything productive, hence I decided to also create this market to incentivize myself.

For the purposes of this market, going to sleep early will be defined as - by 0030 latest being in bed and turning off all lights with my head on the pillow and intention to sleep. Any deviations to this I will announce at least 3 days prior and not more then 10% of days may be such (so, thats 6 days in total until the deadline). At market creation I can already reserve 2 days - 12th of april and 10th of may, where I know I will not go to sleep early.

I currently have no way to objectively prove to market participants weather I went to sleep early or not, so NO traders be advised that by betting in this market you trust that I will resolve this market honestly. I might get a digital watch that shows when I have gone to sleep and could post screenshots, but I currently dont have one and Im not sure how it measures it and how precise they are.

For a YES resolution, I also need to submit my bachelors by the deadline. Failure to do so will also automatically be a NO resolution. Important info for NO traders - I failed to submit my bachelors last year - make from that what you will.

  • Update 2025-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Emergency/Unplanned Delay Clause Update:

    • If external circumstances (such as travel delays) prevent reaching home in time to be in bed by 0030 with intent to sleep, that day will count as one of the reserved non-compliant days.

    • This exception is in addition to the existing 3-day prior announcement rule and applies only to unplanned, emergency situations.

    • All other resolution criteria remain unchanged.

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Well I got what I asked for from @Bayesian :") time to lock in and get this degree. In other news, it's been a week of going to sleep early, and besides AirBaltic giving me a dull head, I feel much better, even if it's quite hard to force myself to put everything down and turn off the lights.

@traders I'm traveling home from abroad today and my airplane has had a second delay. As of now I might make it home in time to hit the sack early, but it's iffy. I know I have the clause about announcements 3 days in advance, but that was with the intention to avoid spontanous decisions of my own volition, whilst this is out of my control and wasn't intended to be covered by that. I intend to dock one of the days out of the six that I have reserved, if I dont make it in time, and add a clause for emergency/unplanned situations. If there are any objections, please comment below.

@ScipioFabius sounds fine to me

@ScipioFabius well, ended up having my flight cancelled and got a coupon to stay in the airport hotel, so I am going to sleep early :P

bought Ṁ10 NO

Are you more incentivized by bets against or for you?

@CommanderKeen the idea is that I lay down a sizable amount of mana that I lose if I dont fullfill what I set out to do, so technicly the more mana I lock up the higher the incentive for myself.

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