I go to sleep early every day until I submit my bachelors? (2nd attempt)

Question

I have had a very bad sleep schedule for quite a while now, going to sleep late at night and, even though I consider myself a night owl, feeling bad because of it. I also believe it interferes with my ability to concentrate and motivate myself to do anything productive, hence I decided to also create this market to incentivize myself.

For the purposes of this market, going to sleep early will be defined as - by 0030 latest being in bed and turning off all lights with my head on the pillow and intention to sleep. Any deviations to this I will announce at least 3 days prior and not more then 10% of days may be such (so, thats 6 days in total until the deadline). At market creation I can already reserve 2 days - 12th of april and 10th of may, where I know I will not go to sleep early.

I currently have no way to objectively prove to market participants weather I went to sleep early or not, so NO traders be advised that by betting in this market you trust that I will resolve this market honestly. I might get a digital watch that shows when I have gone to sleep and could post screenshots, but I currently dont have one and Im not sure how it measures it and how precise they are.

For a YES resolution, I also need to submit my bachelors by the deadline. Failure to do so will also automatically be a NO resolution. Important info for NO traders - I failed to submit my bachelors last year - make from that what you will.

Update 2025-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Emergency/Unplanned Delay Clause Update:

If external circumstances (such as travel delays) prevent reaching home in time to be in bed by 0030 with intent to sleep, that day will count as one of the reserved non-compliant days.

This exception is in addition to the existing 3-day prior announcement rule and applies only to unplanned, emergency situations.

All other resolution criteria remain unchanged.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 24, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.