Election winner -> Riots? [Conditional]
➕
Plus
44
Ṁ6317
Dec 31
74%
Kamala wins -> election riots
35%
Trumps wins -> election riots
13%
Election riots resolves first

This is a derivative conditional market, conditional on the Manifold main election Sweepstakes market:

The second question being, also the Sweepstakes version of:

Only one of the conditional options will resolve, whilst the other will be N/A.

Edit: The 'Election riots resolves first' option resolves YES/NO irrespective of who wins. If this option resolves YES, then both conditional options get N/A.

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bought Ṁ25 Trumps wins -> elect... YES

Only one of the options will resolve, whilst the other two will be N/A.

Does this mean that “Election riots resolves first” can only resolve to YES (or be N/A), never to NO?

@santiago Thank you for pointing that out, didn't fully think it through whilst writing. See the edit.

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