This market closes on March 6th, but cannot resolve NO until April 11th.
The tariffs must actually go into effect for this market to resolve YES. The market still resolves YES even if the tariffs are removed immediately after taking effect.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน315 | |
| 2 | แน161 | |
| 3 | แน123 | |
| 4 | แน73 | |
| 5 | แน60 |
The steel tariffs announced in the executive order today specifically called out and targeted China meet this markets criteria i think.
@VagueHenry These take effect March 12th and will cause the market to resolve YES if they do take effect.
https://fortune.com/asia/2025/01/21/trump-extends-tiktok-ban-tariffs/
On Inauguration Day, Trump threatened 100% tariffs if China did not agree to sell TikTok. He hasn't mentioned the plan since, but tariffs are probably his most effective tool to pressure China into allowing the sale.
Worth noting that Trump's pause on the TikTok ban was only for 75 days, which means the app will be banned again around April 7 if nothing changes.