This market resolves Yes if:

• Trump releases or begins to implement some sort of economic plan (e.g. tariffs)

• The stock or bond markets crash in response

• Trump does not implement the announced plans due to the market crash

This market resolves N/A if Trump does not assume the presidency in 2025.

• Update 2025-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria:

  • The market will not resolve NO under any circumstance until January 1, 2026.

• Update 2025-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Crash Confirmation:

  • The referenced stock market crash confirms that the first part of the resolution criteria has been met.

Tariffs Implementation Update:

• If the announced tariffs are not implemented or are walked back, the market will resolve YES.

• There is a leaning towards resolving YES if Congress blocks the tariffs as well.