yeah I have no idea how to resolve this

on one hand
- april announced tariffs crashed the stock market
- those tariffs were never implemented, except on china, and this one was walked back
- clear YES case

on the other
- august tariffs actually were implemented
- these are at a level that is still quite high, even though on average it is much lower than april
- some tariff rates actually increased in august relative to april
- liz truss was forced to completely throw out her mini budget, which isn't what happened here; a YES resolution feels misleading in that sense

The first part of this market's resolution criteria has played out: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_stock_market_crash

If the tariffs are not implemented or are walked back, this market will resolve YES. (Leaning towards resolving YES if Congress acts to block the tariffs as well.)

@SaviorofPlant will you wait for the market response on Monday to Trump's tariff EO on Canada + Mexico and resolve NO in case no crash takes place? What would it take to resolve the market otherwise?

@aleven this market will not resolve NO under any circumstance until january 1 2026

@SaviorofPlant oh right, I guess the title should have made it clear, got fooled by the close date

If he just never implements the tariffs at all, does this resolve NO OR NA?

@Enlil Resolves NO unless some other policy (mass deportations?) satisfies the criteria

Trump's announced tariff plans are so ridiculously bad that I think this is a realistic possibility 🙃

I will not trade on this market though (since there's some subjectivity in resolution), except a 1 mana trade to increase the number of traders