Will there be more job openings for US software developers on Indeed on April 25, 2024 than February 25, 2024?
27
118
515
May 6
15%
chance

Resolves based on the numbers on this page, which are seasonally adjusted (sorry, couldn't fit that in the question itself): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE

The number of postings has largely declined for two years, but this decline has dramatically slowed in recent months. With the stock market at all time highs, the trend could reverse, but recent tech layoffs or a decline in Indeed's market share may counteract this. The data for engineering roles at software companies specifically appears to be more bullish (although this chart is not seasonally adjusted): https://twitter.com/AznWeng/status/1758140096421793943#m

This market resolves whenever the data is available, which may not be the listed closing date. If the value is exactly the same on April 25 and February 25, the market resolves NO.

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