Will anyone be able to tell me which market a 2000 profit spike I had yesterday came from?
7
55
160
resolved Apr 28
Resolved
NO

According to my profile, I briefly gained 2000 mana yesterday from 5:50 to 6:30 PM Pacific. I was active in two sports betting markets and made some comments on a resolution in my Israel market right around this time, but neither of these should have provided anywhere close to this much mana:

https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/who-will-win-game-3-of-the-27-serie
https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/who-will-win-game-3-of-the-45-serie
https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-or-as-a-res

Is this a bug in Manifold, or is there some activity somewhere that I missed?

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Here is how the bug happened. The profit for some reason took not the actual 300 from the market, but the whole +1800 from the balance log. But some of those money are yours, they are not profit. Somebody has made a mistake of drawing a point corresponding to Payout instead of Profit.

@KongoLandwalker

I have those spikes every time anything resolves. They are smaller for me, because payouts were small.

@KongoLandwalker It seems like you correctly identified the market this came from, so you may want to bet YES before this resolves...

@SaviorofPlant

Is this a bug in Manifold, or is there some activity somewhere that I missed?

The spirit of the question as i understood was

Is it a bug or somebody finds the profit source?

I have found the exact moment the BUG happened and shown you have NOT gained the profit, but it is just an incorrect point on the plot.

@SaviorofPlant

Will anyone be able to tell me which market a 2000 profit spike I had yesterday came from?

You did not have a profit spike, you had a plot spike. I do not agree with YES resolution, because all the sentences in your question hint that if it is impossible to find the profit source, then it resolves NO. There was no such profit source!

@KongoLandwalker You're right, that's clearly implied by the description.

@KongoLandwalker It happened again today with another sports-betting market, which I think confirms your theory.

I also have noticed several times recently that the line on markets goes BACK in time. Literally making a visual loop.

I am 90% sure It is a bug. Plots are inconsistent for at least 4 weeks already i think.

I have a very huge dip in my profits plot, but sometimes it "forgets" and draws the whole right part shifted upwards, like if the dip was 10 times smaller. Approximately once a day i also notice unexplainable spikes and even shifts (line being higher than it should on a >1h interval).

Also request for timespan "All" works 50% of the time.