Will a tropical or subtropical storm be named Vince in October 2023?
#Science#Weather#Extreme Weather#Hurricanes#2023 Hurricane Season
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resolved Nov 1
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NO

Vince is the next name on the Atlantic list (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Atlantic_hurricane_season).

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predicted YES

October in which time zone? If UTC +0, would a 12am UTC +0 update on November 1 count if it comes in a little early (as it typically does)?

@SaviorofPlant above question. PT time of close seems odd. UTC or ET/local time where storm forms seems more appropriate.

Also if it forms as a numbered depression before the deadline but gets named Vince after the deadline, that would resolve as 'no' presumably from the wording?

What if they announce before the deadline that advisories will start after the deadline? Does this depend on whether, in the announcement that advisories will commence, they call it "Tropical Storm Vince" or do they just have to say it has formed (yes) whereas expected to form or some other future tense wording is a no?

bought Ṁ9 of NO

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bought Ṁ50 of NO

Reminder: If 96L becomes a tropical depression but not a tropical storm it will not get a name.

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Intensity guidance at 12Z seems to agree that a short-term intensification to TS strength is unlikely.

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