What will Trump's margin be in the RealClearPolitics polling average for the 2024 presidential election on June 1, 2024?
15
1kṀ1237
resolved Jun 7
Resolved
0.30-0.90

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden

If Biden leads by 1%, this resolves to -1.

I really wish FiveThirtyEight had their average up at this point, as there seems to be no rhyme or reason to which polls RCP includes, but alas...

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Margin was 0.6%, so I resolved 50/50 between the 0.3 - 0.6 bucket and the 0.6 - 0.9 bucket.

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