What will the average ENSO ONI be in the year 2024? (Will it be El Nino or La Nina?)
4
74
Ṁ126Ṁ290
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
>2.0 (Super El Niño)
3%
1.5 - 2.0 (Strong El Niño)
3%
1.0 - 1.5 (Moderate El Niño)
3%
0.5 - 1.0 (Weak El Niño)
18%
0 - 0.5 (Warm neutral)
40%
-0.5 - 0 (Cool neutral)
18%
-1.0 - -0.5 (Weak La Niña)
3%
-1.5 - -1.0 (Moderate La Niña)
3%
-2.0 - -1.5 (Strong La Niña)
3%
<-2.0 (Super Niña)
I will average the values on this page for each of the twelve 3 month periods in 2024 (DJF to NDJ): https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
See also this associated market specifically for peak hurricane season (ASO): https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/will-it-be-el-nino-la-nina-or-neith
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will average world temperature for 2024 be higher than 2023?
67% chance
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
67% chance
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
66% chance
How active will the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Will 2024 be the warmest year on record?
66% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
55% chance
Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2024?