What will be true of Llama 4? [Add answers]
7
1.5kṀ651Apr 2
69%
Some version of it will score better on SWE-Bench Verified than Claude 3.5 Sonnet (October version)
62%
It will have a variant with over 400 billion parameters (does not need to release immediately)
58%
Some version of it will score better on GPQA than o1-preview (73% pass@1)
53%
It will be able to output audio
51%
It will be able to output images
50%
Non-mini Llama 4 released by April 4, 2025
37%
Gets the high score on Humanity's Last Exam
33%
Manifold will think any variant is the best model released up to that point in a poll
26%
Reaches Highest Arena Score on Chatbot Arena
22%
Gets the high score on FrontierMath
17%
Meta share price reaches ATH within 24 hours of the first release of a non-mini Llama 4
if an answer doesn't specify which model, any model in the llama 4 family meeting the criteria causes it to resolve YES
high score options are up to date of release - if llama4 gets a high score on april 1 and gpt-9000 comes out on april 2 and beats its score, answer still resolves YES
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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