
In 2024, will there be a 10% difference between two-way presidential margin and Senate margin in any swing state?
3
Ṁ428Ṁ505resolved Nov 14
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Swing states for the purposes of this market include: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Arizona.
Resolves YES if the difference between the Democratic nominee for president and Republican nominee for president is different by 10% or more from the difference between the Democratic nominee for Senate and the Republican nominee for Senate in any of these states.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ313 | |
| 2 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
64% chance
What will be the margin in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Will the 2040 electoral map differ from 2020 more than 2020 differed from 2000?
70% chance
Swing states of the future: Which states will be within 5 points in the 2040 presidential election?