In 2024, will there be a 10% difference between two-way presidential margin and Senate margin in any swing state?

Standard

2

แน500Nov 1

31%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Swing states for the purposes of this market include: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Arizona.

Resolves YES if the difference between the Democratic nominee for president and Republican nominee for president is different by 10% or more from the difference between the Democratic nominee for Senate and the Republican nominee for Senate in any of these states.

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