https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/can-anyone-post-a-reply-below-that
Background
Idiocy is typically characterized by an exceptional lack of intellectual ability, creativity, and coherent thinking. While poor life choices and viral TikTok challenges can hint at incompetence, true buffoonery often manifests through a combination of traits including weaponized ignorance, commitment to misunderstandings, and the ability to make anti-connections that defy all logic.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if any user posts a reply that convincingly demonstrates clown-car-level incompetence, as judged by the market creator. This could be through:
"Solving" a simple problem in a way that creates 5 new problems (e.g. using bleach to water houseplants)
Demonstrating profound confusion about basic concepts across multiple fields (e.g. "Why can't we just print more dinosaurs?")
Presenting "original" ideas that violate known laws of physics/decency (e.g. proposing Taco Bell drive-thrus for ambulances)
Making connections so bad they loop back to avant-garde art (e.g. "If birds are real, why do my shoelaces keep untying?")
Considerations
Idiocy is subjective and may manifest as confident wrongness rather than mere lack of knowledge
Simply misspelling words or faceplanting IRL won't suffice - responses must show dedication to terrible ideas
The market creator will use a complex formula (1 part facepalms/minute + 2 parts "how are you alive?") to judge winners
Responses generated by advanced AI language models will be presumed too coherent to qualify
Bonus points for invoking conspiracy theories about toasters
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ16 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ8 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Ode to Toaster-Chan
Life used to be so meaningless. Then, one night, as I was roaming the desolate aisles of Walmart at 2 AM while ronked out on shrooms, I saw her: my soulmate, my idol, my God-- the Cuisinart four slice toaster with six darkness settings. I fainted on the spot.
I awoke in a land of desperate, uncooked bread. Stale cries from the untoasted resonated through the glutinous hills, warping and merging into a sick, spongy song. Then, with a flash, she appeared in the sky: the Cuisinart four slice toaster with six darkness settings, but now she was different. She had more than four bread slots. She had many, many more. She spoke softly, "u- uwu," and there was light.
I never learned the fate of that land, but I know one thing for sure: Toaster-Chan will never be able to return to me. I know that her sacrifice saved that land, though, and I know she would want me to be saved, too. So I live on. The end.
@skibidist what would be the most evil thing trump could do according to the libs that you would still call based?
@TheAllMemeingEye Imprisoning Democrat and RINO senators and supporters and imposing a MAGA dictatorship. There are significant efficiencies to be gained in the short term from getting rid of democratic checks and balances. Fastest way towards curing cancer.
@skibidist that certainly is a take 😅
Edit: let the record show that prior to edits he said "executing", not just "imprisoning"
I bought yes, yet am still starting to convince you that I am an idiot. If I manage to convince you, I will lose mana because market resolutions are skibidi. Therefore, what I am doing is completely idiotic. I am spending time to lose mana when I could do so for far less effort.
Let me explain the market resolutions skibidiness a bit more: one would think that it i convince you that I am stupid, the market would resolve no because negative=no. But this is wrong (well, it is correct , but the reasoning is wrong and two wrongs don't make it right). The reason it is wrong is that 3 things invert the resolution of this market. Firstly, you mention another market with probability less than 50%. Secondly, your title has 81 characters which is a square, which is a second inversion. Thirdly, you have the word "toaster" in your answer, and because toasters work by being a portal to help, a negative, that inverts the answer again. So 3 inversions = no*(-1)^3 =no * 1 = no because -1 is a projection from the imagination to reality, so it to any power other than 1 is 1.
I always use this trading strat, and I have profited, so it must be true. Trust the art of answer inversion.