MANIFOLD
By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)
14
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2034
14%
By end of 2026
19%
By end of 2027
34%
By end of 2028
44%
By end of 2029
46%
By end of 2030
47%
By end of 2031
47%
By end of 2032
47%
By end of 2033
47%
By end of 2034
47%
By end of 2035
53%
Does not reach 5% before 2036

Resolution Criteria:

This question resolves to the year in which the trailing four-month average reaches ≥5% of Americans giving answers classified as "advancement of computers/technology" to the question: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?

Resolution is based on the monthly updated Gallup website. On this website, "-" means 0% and "*" means <0.5%. For the purpose of this question, we will interpret "*" as 0.25%.

If a new category named "AI" or similar is added, we will either take the sum (if we determine there is no overlap in respondents) or the maximum (if we are unable to rule out overlap) between these categories.

Resolves N/A if the Gallup poll is discontinued or the category is removed without a suitable replacement.

Related:
What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)

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