Will the Biden administration set the social cost of carbon at $100/ton or more in 2022?
Will the Biden administration set the social cost of carbon at $100/ton or more in 2022?
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160Ṁ1174resolved Oct 4
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From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022
Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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