Will rebels fail to capture Addis Ababa in 2022?
9
Ṁ122Ṁ1.3kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Vox Future Perfect’s predictions for 2022: https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/22824620/predicting-midterms-covid-roe-wade-oscars-2022
Resolved according to Vox’s judgment, as given through future posts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ52 | |
| 2 | Ṁ9 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
9% chance
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
30% chance
Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026?
21% chance
Will Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?
54% chance
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?
Will there be a major attack on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2030?
26% chance
Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death?
57% chance
Will Egypt go to war with Ethiopia by 2030?
26% chance
Will an African nation successfully win the bid process to host a Summer/Winter Olympics before EOY 2035?
47% chance