Will @Yev be active on Manifold in April if the charity program ends?

Ṁ380Ṁ95

resolved Feb 24

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If Manifold continues with its plan to end the charity program at the end of February and does not announce a replacement charity program before the end of March (even if it operates in a different way), will @Yev place 5 or more bets in the month of April 2023?

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Manifold for Charity

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When will Manifold implement a charity program? [READ DESCRIPTION]

7/16/26

Will I be active on Manifold at the end of 2026?

67% chance

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@SG Does creating markets count as bets? Answering free response markets? Challenge bets, if they still exist? Auto-selling shares when some of my limit orders get filled? ArbBot trades?

predictedYES

@Yev If it shows up on your (@Yev's) portfolio page, it generally counts. I'll exclude filled limit orders if those orders were orignally placed before April. ArbBot trades will not count. (And challenges bets no longer exist. 😌 )

Maybe a dumb question, but why not just reorganize the charity giving as tournaments with the prizes optionally diverted to charity of winners choice? Seems Stripe doesn’t care about paying out winners of competitions, correct??

yeah that should work because it eliminates the redemption of mana for cash. Tournament winners keep their mana!!!!

People are also trading

When will Manifold implement a charity program? [READ DESCRIPTION]

7/16/26

Will I be active on Manifold at the end of 2026?

67% chance

People are also trading

People are also trading

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