Resolves to CPI report ( https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm ), scheduled to be released on May 11, 2022, at 8:30 AM ET.
May 11, 9:03am: One-month percent change in CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for March 2022: 1.2% https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_04122022.pdf
May 11, 11:01am: Oops, accidentally resolved to last month's number. The correct number was 0.33%.
💬 Proven correct
wasabipesto bought M$20 of YES18 days ago
It appears the monthly number hasn't been below 0.4% since August 2021 (and event hat was just a dip). Any reason that number was chosen as the cutoff?
wasabipesto made M$23!
S G is betting YES at 85% 9 days ago
This was a mistake. I accidentally used last month's numbers. In retrospect, the question (which I shamelessly copied from Polymarket) was poorly worded and conflicts with the resolution criterion in the description.
Enopoletus Harding is betting YES at 85% 9 days ago
Lol this market was improperly resolved. Actual number was .33%.
I think it's more likely than not.
S G bought M$25 of YES17 days ago
Wondering why Polymarket is trading so low... https://polymarket.com/market/will-us-inflation-be-more-than-0pt4-from-march-to-april-2022
wasabipesto bought M$20 of YES18 days ago
It appears the monthly number hasn't been below 0.4% since August 2021 (and event hat was just a dip). Any reason that number was chosen as the cutoff?