Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022?
Resolved
YES
May 11
M$756 bet
Resolves to CPI report ( https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm ), scheduled to be released on May 11, 2022, at 8:30 AM ET. May 11, 9:03am: One-month percent change in CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for March 2022: 1.2% https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_04122022.pdf May 11, 11:01am: Oops, accidentally resolved to last month's number. The correct number was 0.33%.

💬 Proven correct

wasabipesto

wasabipesto bought M$20 of YES18 days ago

It appears the monthly number hasn't been below 0.4% since August 2021 (and event hat was just a dip). Any reason that number was chosen as the cutoff?
wasabipesto made M$23!
SG

S G is betting YES at 85% 9 days ago

This was a mistake. I accidentally used last month's numbers. In retrospect, the question (which I shamelessly copied from Polymarket) was poorly worded and conflicts with the resolution criterion in the description.
EnopoletusHarding

Enopoletus Harding is betting YES at 85% 9 days ago

Lol this market was improperly resolved. Actual number was .33%.
EnopoletusHarding

Enopoletus Harding 9 days ago

I think it's more likely than not.
SG

S G bought M$25 of YES17 days ago

wasabipesto

wasabipesto bought M$20 of YES18 days ago

It appears the monthly number hasn't been below 0.4% since August 2021 (and event hat was just a dip). Any reason that number was chosen as the cutoff?