One way of viewing Manifold is that's a platform for you to pay to get an answer to your question. Prediction markets are one way of doing this. But there are others:

• Question bounties, where you allocate a bounty in mana that is paid out to the best user-submitted answers. (We have a prototype of this up here but there's a lot we could do to improve it and more fully incorporate it into our platform.)

• Paid polls or surveys

• ???

At the end of the year, all people working on Manifold will take a Yes/No vote. If the majority vote non-market features such as the ones listed above (but not excluding related options that aren't listed) as the most impactful new feature from 2023 this market will resolve YES. A split vote resolves NO.

If we decide not to implement this feature (or if the feature we do implement looks sufficiently different), I will resolve this market N/A (even if we do end up implementing it later)