Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election?
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resolved May 18
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NO
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predictedYES
https://mobile.twitter.com/PresTrumpTS/status/1526076166368423936 alright, so all the three pillars are in place: Trump endorsement, incumbency, MAGA character. I don't see how he loses
predictedYES
There are two options here: he wins and he resigns. He loses isn't really an option. So this market should adjust upward (or downward) to reflect the chances of resignation.
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