Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election?
Politics
5
22
แน€516
resolved May 18
Resolved
NO
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predicted YES
Should resolve to NO: https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1526767916183654402
predicted YES
https://mobile.twitter.com/PresTrumpTS/status/1526076166368423936 alright, so all the three pillars are in place: Trump endorsement, incumbency, MAGA character. I don't see how he loses
predicted YES
...yeah: https://twitter.com/maxtmcc/status/1524194955241140225
predicted YES
There are two options here: he wins and he resigns. He loses isn't really an option. So this market should adjust upward (or downward) to reflect the chances of resignation.

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