What will be the highest impact outreach initiative for Manifold in Q4 2023?
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ6768
resolved Jan 1
100%90%
NYT article by Kevin Roose
1.4%
Debatecon 4 sponsorship
0.4%
Fishtank S2 sponsorship
1.9%
Live debate with Destiny
1.0%
Live event with Aella
0.5%
No impactful initiatives
0.4%
ChinaTalk essay contest
0.3%
Live with LK-99 authors
0.4%
Gaming creator sponsorship
0.2%
The Economist partnership
4%Other

I will resolve this market to whichever outreach initiative I deem to be most impactful.

An "outreach initiative" is a collaboration, partnership, sponsorship, or hosted event (non-exclusive list) that involves working with another person or entity outside Manifold and isn't just be a new feature on the platform. The initiative must happen in Q4 2023.

I will assess impact holistically, valuing events which boost DAUs (daily active users) very highly but also considering harder-to-quantify things like increased prestige and legitimacy.

If there are no impactful outreach initiatives, I will resolve to that answer (rather than N/A-ing).

I will prefer answers that are precise and useful over ones that are technically correct but vague.

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Live event with Aella

Manifest was a live event with Aella ... ?

bought Ṁ10 NYT article by Kevin... YES

Guys, this seems probable…

@oh Bet it up a lot, then you are daring people to work hard and make one of the other options win instead. It has to be the leader so far though.

@Eliza So… what do you recommend I do?

@oh Kind of looks like it already moved!

@Eliza Yeah I don’t know how no one else thought to add it, and I left it undervalued cuz I’m not a fan of risk lol

@oh I was thinking about excluding the NYT article as an answer since it was in the works before the creation of this market. But I didn't before you created this answer. So it will count.

Also, I consider the NYT article impactful, so I probably wouldn't bet on "No impact"...

@SG Thanks for weighing in! Yeah, was thinking that the effort was really last quarter, but the impact was this quarter.

Do you plan to do a partnership with The Economist?

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