Top model on FutureX for September Week 4?
7
10kṀ18kSep 28
10%
xAI
77%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
3%
Google
1.6%
DeepSeek
1.7%
Alibaba
3%
Other
Which AI lab or company has the top model on the FutureX forecasting leaderboard for Week 4 of September 2025?
Update 2025-09-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Third-party agent models that wrap/use OpenAI will be counted as OpenAI (not Other).
Resolution is based on the underlying model/provider, not the agent framework.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@vdb Interesting edge case. I learn toward counting this as "OpenAI" given that the description specifies the model in particular rather than agent framework. But I'll be more careful in subsequent markets.