The first person to create a Community Note on Twitter/X which 1. links to a high-quality market on Manifold 2. attached to a tweet with at least 10,000 impressions that 3. remains up for at least 24 hours and 4. posts a link to that tweet in the comments here will win the full bounty.
The Community Note must be your own to claim this bounty. I will reject tweets / Notes that are botted, involve fake impressions, or otherwise violate the spirit of this market. The market linked to in the Community Note should be reasonably high quality and from a creator with a history of honorable resolutions.
Rough summary of how Community Notes (CN) work:
Community notes is an open-source project recently introduced on X (prev Twitter)
Any Twitter user with a verified phone number can sign up to be a contributor.
Any contributor can write a note that provides additional context on any tweet.
Multiple contributors can write notes which other contributors can vote on which is the best one. Then using an algorithm one may be shown in the description of the tweet - normally in cases where the original tweet contains misinformation or is misleading.
CNs often contain a link to some sort of news source which includes an image preview to said source. The idea is that this in theory could be a prediction market, but someone just has to link one.
Sign up to be a CN contributor.
Then start creating notes which include a Manifold market as the source!
If we end up officially partnering with X to add prediction markets as some sort of new feature, then this will also count as long as it is using Manifold on the backend to create the market.
See also: /SirSalty/will-there-be-a-manifold-link-in-an
The winning submission, from @DanMan314: https://twitter.com/i/communitynotes/t/1750178601952018709
Tried to make a high quality note here: