Is there a "secret gigawatt-class GPU cluster being constructed in Kuwait"? [Elon claim]
Is there a "secret gigawatt-class GPU cluster being constructed in Kuwait"? [Elon claim]
65
1.9kṀ10k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Elon Musk claimed as much during an interview with Peter Diamandis.

Resolves YES either if there is a "gigawatt-class GPU cluster" in Kuwait as of Jan 22, 2024 or if construction begins on such a project at any point in 2024.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ815
2Ṁ575
3Ṁ174
4Ṁ110
5Ṁ96


Sort by:
5mo
bought Ṁ1,000 NO5mo

@Waffloid This sounds super damning. If it was slated to be ~850 meg that would be one issue, but also having half the expected budget and gigantic cooling/safety concerns makes me think this isn't really happening.

1y

that's like at least one nuclear reactor's worth of power

1y

Why would he lie? What incentive does he have to lie?

1y

@SG does 864 MW count as “gigawatt-class”

1y

Does it matter if the company building it refers to it as gigawatt class

1y

@ahalekelly Tough one. Probably, I'd say... To one sig fig, it's a GW....

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy