Resolves YES if Bharatiya Janata Party wins the 2024 Indian general elections with a clear majority. Seats won by alliance parties will not be counted.
A recent poll by "India Today-C Voter Mood of the Nation" indicates that there is an increasing chance that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be re-elected to a third term in 2024. The results of the polls are fairly favorable for the ruling party, despite the INDIA alliance emerging as a strong opposition.
With a healthy 43% vote share, the poll predicts that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will win 306 seats. The INDIA alliance, on the other hand, is predicted to win 193 seats with a 41% vote share. It's interesting to note that, by itself, the BJP is predicted to win 287 seats and thus become the majority, a slight decrease from the 303 seats they won in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. With 22 additional seats added, the Congress is predicted to gain a majority of 74, the highest number since 2014. In the meantime, it's likely that other parties will win 182 seats in total.
It's interesting to note that most survey participants thought the opposition alliance, INDIA, wouldn't be able to beat the BJP. In particular, 33% of respondents thought that INDIA could win, whereas 54% of respondents held this opinion.
Apart from the survey findings, it's critical to recognize the broad acknowledgement of the transformations and advancements that have taken place in India since the BJP took office in 2014. The launch of multiple programs has improved the country's standing internationally and aided in its development. Under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's direction, India's stature on the global scene has significantly increased.
Poll Data:
India Today. (2023, August 24). Mood of the Nation: NDA sweep again if polls held today, but INDIA sees jump. India Today. https://www.indiatoday.in/elections/lok-sabha-polls-2024/story/mood-of-the-nation-nda-sweep-again-if-polls-held-today-india-sees-jump-2426188-2023-08-24
@dogiparthiraviteja I agree with the comment:
In terms of Indian politics, it can be said that Narendra Modi and Amit Shah have led a successful strategy as members of the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP). After suffering humiliating defeats in the 2018 state elections of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh, the BJP bounced back in the general elections of 2019 with an impressive victory for the country.
The BJP’s approach has typically focused on strategic decision-making. In fact, controversial decisions like enactment of CAA and repeal of article 370 came early in Modi’s second administration which suggested an active strategy of dealing with controversial items before the 2024 election.
After 2019, they have demonstrated political shrewdness through victories in Bihar, establishing a government in Haryana, and winning several by-elections. The party’s electoral strength is demonstrated by notable successes in West Bengal and Assam as well as its outstanding performance during the corporation elections of Gujarat.
As your analysis indicates, some states were more affected than others by matters such as farm bills or even the Clean Air Act. This is illustrated by the method used by the BJP to address problems especially through amendments in farm laws.
This is in line with the BJP’s broader agenda and as such coincides with the anticipation of introducing the UCC before 2024 elections. Moreover, the forecasted increase in the market’s performance can also be read as reflecting public confidence in the economy which is necessary for voters.
However, you say that with Modi maintaining the popularity level of about 74%, it is evident that the election’s battle strategy was proactive. It means that Modi began to act like the candidate in early 2023 laying foundations for hard policy determinations Ultimately, BJP is well placed for a considerable performance at the next general election in India. However, one should still remain watchful of Indian politics.
Yes