Will stefdasca get GM on codeforces in 2024?
Will stefdasca get GM on codeforces in 2024?
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1kṀ13kresolved Dec 28
Resolved
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Resolves as YES if the person mentioned gets 2400 (or whatever the grandmaster rating threshold will be at the time) on at least one of his accounts during 2024.
Resolves as NO otherwise.
My main account has a rating of 1939 and a peak of 2238.
I also have some other accounts, the highest rated of them is at 2234.
In addition, I performed at around 2100 rating during the last 20 rounds I took in a test account.
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Update: my practice time has been very limited during the last few months, unless something changes dramatically, this will mostly likely end up being resolved as NO
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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