Will Cocaine Bear get over a 30% on Rotten Tomatoes scale?
41
238
αΉ€810
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
YES

Cocaine Bear is being released on Feb 24.

Close date updated to 2023-03-14 4:59 pm

Get αΉ€200 play money

πŸ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1αΉ€110
2αΉ€81
3αΉ€54
4αΉ€46
5αΉ€39
Sort by:
bought αΉ€84 of YES

CB is at 72% with 95 reviews at time of writing.

Movies often see their percentages fall after their release, but I can't find detailed data on it a quick google. I don't know how much they tend to fall in general, what share of total critics comes in before/at release versus in the first month, and so on. (Maybe one can just get Rotten Tomatoes data? Idk, didn't google that). A few cases mentioned in this article: https://screenrant.com/rotten-tomatoes-movies-lose-fresh-rating-change-reason/

-WW84 went from 88% at release to 65% "within less than a month of its release"
-Joker "started out strong with an 86% fresh rating and then fluctuated repeatedly over several months only to settle in at 69%."
-F9 "opened to an initial 67% fresh rating before diving down to 59%.

Does seem like a fall of 42 points is unlikely, but I can't tell exactly how unlikely.

bought αΉ€200 of YES