Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?
Plus
17
Ṁ44252025
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if I'm spending less than half of my working time doing alignment research at Redwood Research.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
By "alignment research" do you include things like working on the alignment plan, or writing docs proposing alignment research directions? E.g. would writing https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PZtsoaoSLpKjjbMqM/the-case-for-aligning-narrowly-superhuman-models count?
Related questions
Related questions
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?
58% chance
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
30% chance
Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?
38% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 2 years?
79% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?
36% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?
32% chance
Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?
60% chance
In 2024, will the majority of Redwood researchers think it would have been better if they had left Redwood in 2023?
26% chance
How much money will Tetra get for alignment research in 2024?
WhiteBox Research will have at least four fellows spending ≥10 h/wk on an alignment-oriented project by EoY 2024.
79% chance