Which of these crazy Test match things will happen (again) first?
5
1.2kṀ686
2040
4%
Match is a tie
26%
A team follows on and wins
4%
A bowler takes 10 wickets in an innings
4%
A batter scores 400 runs in the match
5%
A batter scores 250 carrying the bat
5%
A number 10/11 scores 100
5%
Someone gets a 10fer and a century
27%
Target >=400 successfully chased
6%
Target <= 100 not successfully chased
6%
Win by an innings and 300 runs
5%
Completed innings with <13 overs
4%
>4 golden ducks in an innings

First option to happen after 2025-12-01. Most of them have happened in the past but not all.

You can find historical data at

https://www.howstat.com/cricket/statistics/Matches/MatchMenu.asp#tests and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Test_cricket_records#Best_figures_in_an_innings

I will bet in this market.

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For "Target <= 100 not successfully chased":

    • Loss and tie both count

    • Draw does not count (draws in this situation due to rain are much more likely than losses or ties)

If multiple options resolve simultaneously:

  • Market will resolve to both options

  • If one option is satisfied during a match and another when it finishes, will resolve to the former

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple options resolve simultaneously:

    • Market will resolve 50/50 to both options (split resolution)

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bought Ṁ1 YES

@Roddy loss/draw/tie all count for this one? also what happens if two options happen at the same time, like this one and tie

@Tripping Loss and tie both count, draw doesn’t (I assume draws in this situation due to rain are much more likely than losses or ties). If multiple resolve at the same time like this, I’ll resolve to both. If one is satisfied during a match and another is satisfied when it finishes, I’ll resolve to the former (and similar if two are satisfied during a match).

@Roddy this is a dependent market, i dont think you can resolve to both

@Tripping resolve to 50/50 both I mean

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