Will you be able to easily and affordably purchase ethical lab-grown human meat in the US before 2035?
22%
chance

Resolves YES if, before market close, one or more food products made from cultured human cells is legally purchasable by a typical U.S. consumer and meets all of the following:

  • The human cells were obtained from a living donor with informed consent (not embryonic/fetal/cadaveric).

  • No non-human animal products and no unethically-obtained human products are used in its manufacture (e.g. no fetal serum used as growth medium).

  • "Easily": The product is fairly frequently available for the general public with no waitlist/lottery as either (a) direct‑to‑consumer online checkout shipping to ≥25 U.S. states, or (b) stocked in ≥50 retail locations across ≥3 U.S. states. Restaurant-only tastings do not count towards this. State-level bans do not prevent a YES if the product is legally purchasable in a sufficient number of other U.S. states.

  • “Affordably”: regular listed price equivalent to <100 2024 USD per 4 oz before tax/shipping.

  • The product is explicitly marketed as intended for human consumption and as made from cultured human cells (not a “not for human consumption” art/research item).

Resolves NO if the above are not all met by the deadline.

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