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Fuck you, Miyamoto!

Thank you for 12 Mana Miyamoto :)

@Robincvgr This seems obvious based on your description, but Nintendo Direct: Partner Showcases do count for the purposes of this market, yes?

@Kraalnaxx Yes they do count

lmao gz

I am genuinely ecstatic right now

https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/what-will-be-true-of-the-july-31-ni

Believe in Nate :)

ALWAYS bet against nintendo.

I’m still fairly sure it was supposed to be announced today and released tomorrow.

Whether it will be after the tsunami hit is a different question but IMO it’s not completely off the table?

We making BANK with this one 💯💯

Edit: We‘re loosing all our Mana with this one, I guess

Preregistering my take before 6 PT tomorrow: Direct chances just dropped because of the tsunami but still >30% imo

@Robincvgr It's gonna hurt me so bad if this resolves NO but we learn that there was gonna be a Direct on Thursday if not for the tsunami

https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/short-fuse-will-japan-experience-a

A couple years ago, Waypoint running this story would have been considered 100% Yes evidence.

I legit think it's down in the 30's now, but not over-over.

@Panfilo Speaking of which; exit order up at 69% @traders

@Panfilo one thing that makes me have faith in the 31st is the Dear me, I was... release

seems like a game that would get a "available today" mention in a Direct

@Robincvgr The issue is that people were saying the downtime was evidence of coinciding with a Direct, and that's no longer the case, so maybe the biggest piece of circumstantial evidence has now fallen through.

@Panfilo Coinciding? Nah, downtime usually comes a bit before Directs.

@Robincvgr Meet me at 59% and get me out of this market?

@Panfilo Order is up

I don’t care how reputable a leaker is, this high odds with this few days left is crazy.

Oh well it's not gonna be tomorrow

31st or bust, I believe in Nate the Hate