Will the Manifold experience get worse after the US election, according to a poll taken 3 months after the US election?
Basic
4
แน71Feb 6
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On the close date, I will create a poll like this:
Has the Manifold experience gotten worse since the US November 2024 election ended?
Answers:
Yes
No
See results
If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (A tie resolves NO.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How will the polls and narratives perform in the 2024 US presidential election? [MC - add responses]
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?
51% chance
Will the number of monthly active users on Manifold drop between November 30th, 2024 and December 31st, 2024?
74% chance
How accurately will Manifold predict the 2024 Presidential Election?
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
38% chance
Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?
45% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?
48% chance
Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
50% chance
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?
8% chance