Will the Manifold experience get worse after the US election, according to a poll taken 3 months after the US election?
Basic
4
Ṁ712025
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On the close date, I will create a poll like this:
Has the Manifold experience gotten worse since the US November 2024 election ended?
Answers:
Yes
No
See results
If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (A tie resolves NO.)
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
38% chance
Will Manifold be worse in September then it was in March? (Resolves to poll)
51% chance
Will the number of monthly active users on Manifold drop between November 30th, 2024 and December 31st, 2024?
80% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?
51% chance
Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
67% chance
Will Manifold crash during America's election night/morning?
39% chance
Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?
42% chance
Will Manifold price a 2024 US recession at >50% at the end of 2024?
6% chance
How confident will Manifold be about the presidential election on November 1st?
Manifold Sentiment Prediction (POTUS Election 2024)