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@Robincvgr how do we know this was actually him and not someone who changed their username once he was accused

@realDonaldTrump verified checkmark

@Robincvgr fwiw I already put him +102 over in terms of net worth (to ensure market fluctuations couldn't swing it), $20,000 was his balance not net worth. (the net worth display was also lagged)

But now he's extra definitely over M20,000 so all good.

@retr0id cool, 10m was worth making sure and removing any question

Managrams -9,128
YES shares -11,814
YES resolution +14,868

someone who is good at markets please help me budget this. my family is dying

@retr0id spend less on managrams

@retr0id says "exceeds", you need to donate one more

@vincentWang I'm not going to, though. bet NO while you still can!

Hey, @retr0id, could you explain what the goal of all this is? You have sent more money to the account than you stand to gain from the market resolution.

@MaxE luigi

@MaxE but as a semi-serious answer I just though it would be funny to make the market resolve YES and set about making that happen

@MaxE this feels similar to the winner’s curse in a pay to bid auction or dollar/all pay auction. @retr0id had enough “Yes” shares that they stood to gain some by managramming less than those yes shares to win the market, but overall pay more in managrams and trades to end up with a net loss. Once I saw the payout on “Yes” was more than the difference between 20k and @LuigiMangione’s balance I stayed away.

I've noticed Luigi's mana balance updates pretty slowly. Maybe once a day or something? Maybe even less?

When it comes to resolution time, will it just be "the value shown on his profile at the time", or some other source?

@retr0id I think the best option here is "what his net worth should be based off all available info such as balance log etc"

does anyone have any problems with that?

@Robincvgr just sold my position in case this gets controversial

@retr0id should be at least 1/day for the inactive users

We really need All Or None orders

Does this market implicitly endorse murder?

@jessald

For as long as luigi's balance is below M20K (and before the end of the market), I pledge to match managrams 1:1.

You managram him M100, I managram him M100.

I only have M510 on the line now, but it would cost me ~M10K to bump luigi's balance. So the best thing for me to do (if the market was resolving now) is to eat the M510 loss and walk away. Betting NO rn is free mana!

@retr0id well, now I have slightly more on the line, and it's starting to get interesting ;)