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MANIFOLD
[Short fuse] Resolves to 1-(1/x), where x is the number of traders, rounded to the nearest full percent.
7
Ṁ100Ṁ235
resolved Aug 10
Resolved as
86%

Examples:

  • If this market has 5 traders, it resolves to 80% (1-(1/5) = 0.8)

  • If this market has 17 traders, it resolves to 94% (1-(1/17) = ~0.9412)

  • If this market has 1 trader, it resolves NO (1-(1/1) = 0)

  • If this market has 200 or more traders, it resolves YES (1-(1/200) = 0.995)

I will make 1 bet on this market to ensure it has at least 1 trader.

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@alice @JoelBraun

Resolving as a percentage means your YES/NO shares only partially pay out.

For example, let's say you bought 100 Mana worth of YES shares at 50%. They would pay out 200 Mana if this resolves YES, and 0 if it resolves NO. If the question resolves partially, for example, 90%, then you would get back 90% of 200 Mana, or 180 Mana. You can think of resolving YES as 100% and NO as 0%.

I see, so we are betting on the number of people who will buy into this market

i think i get the math but i also don't get the yes/no vs percentage resolution

update: i did not get the math.

1-(1/7) = ~~0.857

Round to 0.86

what does it mean for it to resolve to a percentage? isn't it only yes/no?

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