Resolves to 1/3 of the displayed expected value at market close
8
275Ṁ3083
Nov 3
400m
expected
4%
0 - 9
5%
10 - 99
5%
100 - 999
6%
1,000 - 9,999
6%
10,000 - 99,999
7%
100,000 - 999,999
8%
1,000,000 - 9,999,999
10%
10,000,000 - 99,999,999
41%
100,000,000 - 999,999,999
8%
1,000,000,000 - 9,999,999,999

this number

so if it closes at 1,250,000, it will resolve to 100,000 - 999,999 because a third of 1,250,000 is ~416,667

  • Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Sniping is allowed - the creator will not adjust the closing time to prevent last-minute trades that could affect the final expected value.

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Self-resolving
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bought Ṁ10 YES

Do you want to do any adjustment to closing time to avoid sniping? Or you want a snipable market

opened a Ṁ600 NO at 20% order

@AmmonLam sniping is fine (and even if it was just an oversight, i wouldn't change major criteria like that after someone else has traded)

Now this is creative

bought Ṁ98 NO

@AmmonLam it's very simple but it's now very capital-intensive to drive down the EV, even with this tiny amount of liquidity :)

@Robincvgr

i love math

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