Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia dead as of before April 13?

36

1kṀ34k

resolved Apr 18

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the person mistakenly deported by the Trump administration, dead as of before April 13, 2025?

Resolves YES if, before April 30, 2026, Kilmar Abrego Garcia having been dead before April 13, 2025 is reported by a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolves NO if, before, April 30, 2026, proof that he is alive on or after April 13, 2025 emerges (e.g. his lawyer says that he was able to talk to him over video or in person on or after April 13).

Resolves to poll after market close if unclear by market close. All dates in CT

Kilmar Abrego Garcia

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,085
2		Ṁ962
3		Ṁ736
4		Ṁ176
5		Ṁ175

People are also trading

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll]

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

Sort by:

https://bsky.app/profile/vanhollen.senate.gov/post/3ln2gcpf6js2m

Senator Chris Van Hollen (@vanhollen.senate.gov)

I said my main goal of this trip was to meet with Kilmar. Tonight I had that chance. I have called his wife, Jennifer, to pass along his message of love. I look forward to providing a full update upon my return.

opened a Ṁ719 YES at 11% order

@bens put my limit back up

@SemioticRivalry do you wanna put up a NO order, at, let's say 8%? i'd be up to bet more

opened a Ṁ684 YES at 10% order

@Robincvgr @AdamK wanna bet more?

@Robincvgr ah someone filled it

People are also trading

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll]

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

Related questions

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

Kilmer Abrego Garcia returns to US or is alive New Years 2026?

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll]

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules