[Amplified 10x, read description] Will the MSRP of the Nintendo Switch 2 in the US be increased before release day?
16
10kṀ680kJun 5
7%
chance
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6H
1D
1W
1M
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Resolution criteria:
Resolves YES if this market resolves YES.
If these conditions are not fulfilled, then I will generate a random integer between 1 and 10 inclusive using @FairlyRandom. If it turns out to be 1, this market resolves NO. Otherwise, this market resolves N/A.
Betting guide:
The purpose of this market is to allow betting on extremely long odds for this event. Given the resolution criteria, this market's price should end up at x/(x+(1-x)/10), where x is the actual probability of the event. For example, if this has a 1% chance of happening, this market should be at ~9.17%.
Other reference values:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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