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MANIFOLD
Will USDC Market Cap be above $24B at the end of 2023
12
Ṁ321Ṁ1.4k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

Currently $24.563B

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predictedYES

Currently Market Cap $24,512,018,073
At 0:00 UTC 24.493
At claim close time around 24.485
@RobinBruce

predictedNO

I’m interested in peoples theses in this market. My priors are that USDT is partially unbacked / in a cyclical relationship with the crypto assets backing it. I believe USDC to be fully backed.

The loss of market cap is partly ordinary market participants cashing out where there is a functional offramp to dollars. I think it’s also partly due to people with an interest in the tether peg holding swapping USDT for USDC for real dollars and using some or all of that real money to handle redemptions, manage confidence in the backing and to protect the peg