Juan Vicente Perez Mora will turn 117 in 2026?
Ṁ66 / 66
bounty left

27 May, 1909

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

RIP

Assuming a 50% chance of dying each year (roughly consistent with mortality rates among supercentenarians), he has a 21% chance of living to his 117th birthday, 822 days from now.

1/2^(822/365.2422) = 0.21014231342

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy