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If anyone's interested (like if you are): Israeli social media is full of jokes about the Iran attack always being just around the corner.

I added an English translation

I got this one from another market here

Nice
Shared in our meme group :)

I hope Joe Biden would come to the 50 years of waiting for iranian retaliation anniversary.

https://x.com/evyatarh/status/1822578097918472434

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823096265078440219

https://x.com/faytuks/status/1822746242113307048?s=46

France: "look feel free to bomb whoever you like just not during our show".

Aug 10 can resolve no.

@mods

@Destiny3a152 Give the market creator a little bit more time (at least 24 hours) before you ping the mods. Thanks.

cc @RobertSutherland

@traders added more options

Will resolve Aug 5 to NO in a few hours

I feel like "there is no strike" should also be an option? I know that Khamenei has ordered it, but things could still go differently.

Certainly no strike meeting the criteria of the proposition (direct territory-to-territory) seems super possible, given Iranian proxies and Israeli extraterritorial interests like tourists and diplomats elsewhere. There's room for a NO here.

That would just be NO on all

Scoop: Blinken told G7 Iran and Hezbollah could attack Israel in next 24 hours

Axios

Spot checking...

Blinken said the administration felt it was "close to a breakthrough" before the assassination in Tehran. Now a deal is needed more than ever, Blinken added.

No country or nation stands to gain from further escalation in the Middle East

I smell BS.

Aug 4 seems to resolve NO. Will wait in case I missed something

Resolved

19m left for Aug 4.

Time of launch or time of arrival?

Also, Biden delende est for implicitly approving this by letting them get away with the last one

Let’s say strikes begin at launch and end at arrival, and need to overlap with date to resolve

meaning both the launching day and the arrival day would be resolved YES, correct?

Correct