Sergei Shoigu currently serves as the Minister of Defence of Russia.
Valery Gerasimov currently serves as the commander of all Russian forces in Ukraine.
The Russian government currently has a pretty high turnover rate.
Which one will no longer appear to be performing their job functions first? Which one will no longer be making decisions that matter (within the Russian Government) first?
Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to the person who gets fired, removed, demoted, killed, imprisoned, placed under house arrest, disappeared, transferred to Siberia, etc. first.
While the above sentence is relatively expansive, I will wait to resolve it until I am confident that one of the above criteria (or similar) apply first.
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Shoigu has been fired from his position as minister of defense, and appointed the secretary to the security counil. Andrey Belousov has been appointed as the minister of defense instead
The mighty Tuvan is indestructible.
What if both are retired at the same time?
@lukres Hmm, good question! If it is truly at the same time I will probably resolve N/A. If I have strong reason to believe one was before the other (even by an hour), I will resolve to the one who was first.