Will @MarcusAbramovitch have saved more shrimp lives in expectation than he has profited in Mana, by EOY?
16
1kṀ984
resolved Feb 10
Resolved
NO

This market resolves based on if @MarcusAbramovitch has saved more shrimp lives (in expectation) than he has total mana profits on Manifold, at the end of 2024. I will default to asking him and trusting his answer. If he is not active, I will check publicly available/easily accessible records of his donations to shrimp related causes and multiply that number by those charities stated number for Shrimp Lives saved per dollar, then compare it to the profit detailed on his profile (or returned via the API) at the end of 2024. If it seems like there are weird profit spikes/glitches, I may take a number +-24 hours.

For charities that do not save shrimps from death but instead reduce their suffering, I will prompt Marcus to think of QALY's/try to find a QALY number.

Edge cases will be resolved according to my (or the mods) understanding of the spirit of the (slightly meme-y) market.

Note: I made this market in response to a large recent donation from @MarcusAbramovitch to the SWP, through manifold

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