This market will settle as YES if Donald Trump wins the election and announces that Elon Musk is nominated to a cabinet position by February 28, 2025. Trump must say what the position is; a general expression that Musk will be in the cabinet will not count. "The cabinet" means one of the 15 heads of government agencies, or a role designated as cabinet-level.
If the Republican ticket loses the election, this market will settle as N/A. If the Republican ticket wins but Donald Trump is not able to fulfill his duties, then the market will be resolved based on whether whoever the next president is nominates Musk.
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Elon going to the "Department of Government Efficiency"
@gamedev Is Trump designating the head of the DOGE as cabinet-level?
> "The cabinet" means one of the 15 heads of government agencies, or a role designated as cabinet-level.
That being said, Musk will not be in the Cabinet.
Trump said: “He doesn’t want to be in the Cabinet, he just wants to be in charge of cost-cutting. We’ll have a new position, secretary of cost-cutting, Elon wants to do that.”
@WilliamKiely "should have been higher" assuming the current 25% is the right price, which I don't know.